Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 2.873896 3.074004 3.288237 3.535894 3.815888 4.124533 4.493158
2025-12-14 2.507015 2.767455 3.061677 3.422781 3.859916 4.380038 5.058628
2025-12-21 2.333779 2.630219 2.977399 3.421645 3.986855 4.699832 5.699243
2025-12-28 2.193942 2.511388 2.893495 3.398636 4.067665 4.954043 6.277765
2026-01-04 2.045602 2.367249 2.761992 3.296280 4.025295 5.028070 6.603160
2026-01-11 1.960041 2.293154 2.710061 3.288194 4.102124 5.268052 7.206334
2026-01-18 1.913918 2.264402 2.712026 3.348800 4.276041 5.665489 8.132568
2026-01-25 2.009022 2.422517 2.969315 3.782964 5.042898 7.100412 11.281512
2026-02-01 1.890350 2.289319 2.821152 3.620944 4.877939 6.975381 11.393624
2026-02-08 1.775829 2.156745 2.667196 3.440220 4.667241 6.744718 11.230894
2026-02-15 1.714552 2.093851 2.607380 3.395828 4.672184 6.897594 11.956632
2026-02-22 1.651306 2.025454 2.536170 3.329000 4.633139 6.962990 12.497849
2026-03-01 1.570736 1.935866 2.438763 3.229049 4.552490 6.983337 13.065851
2026-03-08 1.494470 1.850013 2.343791 3.128648 4.465434 6.987287 13.633387
2026-03-15 1.453275 1.811014 2.314128 3.127900 4.550848 7.351785 15.400795
2026-03-22 1.410394 1.767418 2.274886 3.108032 4.598520 7.645966 17.152251
2026-03-29 1.352795 1.700348 2.197201 3.019581 4.509488 7.621668 17.811533
2026-04-05 1.320137 1.667859 2.169879 3.012583 4.573406 7.960848 20.106519
2026-04-12 1.304380 1.659062 2.177803 3.064998 4.758050 8.633966 24.576141
2026-04-19 1.361608 1.759958 2.361112 3.437977 5.656952 11.540933 50.074667
2026-04-26 1.303767 1.686023 2.263445 3.299297 5.439033 11.141202 49.191740
2026-05-03 1.245022 1.609298 2.159051 3.143898 5.173472 10.556331 45.835493
2026-05-10 1.213806 1.573472 2.119346 3.105610 5.167952 10.802421 52.265037